Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 0.000790 0.000901 0.001019 0.001152 0.001299 0.001455 0.001633
2025-02-09 0.000603 0.000755 0.000927 0.001134 0.001376 0.001647 0.001974
2025-02-16 0.000498 0.000665 0.000862 0.001110 0.001411 0.001760 0.002194
2025-02-23 0.000435 0.000614 0.000835 0.001123 0.001484 0.001914 0.002462
2025-03-02 0.000384 0.000571 0.000810 0.001131 0.001544 0.002049 0.002706
2025-03-09 0.000327 0.000513 0.000759 0.001099 0.001550 0.002113 0.002860
2025-03-16 0.000280 0.000461 0.000711 0.001067 0.001550 0.002166 0.002999
2025-03-23 0.000249 0.000431 0.000688 0.001065 0.001587 0.002266 0.003197
2025-03-30 0.000224 0.000404 0.000668 0.001064 0.001624 0.002364 0.003395
2025-04-06 0.000199 0.000376 0.000643 0.001054 0.001646 0.002442 0.003565
2025-04-13 0.000174 0.000346 0.000613 0.001034 0.001652 0.002497 0.003705
2025-04-20 0.000163 0.000336 0.000612 0.001056 0.001718 0.002635 0.003959
2025-04-27 0.000151 0.000324 0.000609 0.001074 0.001780 0.002769 0.004213
2025-05-04 0.000133 0.000300 0.000583 0.001056 0.001788 0.002828 0.004365
2025-05-11 0.000116 0.000276 0.000555 0.001034 0.001787 0.002874 0.004497
2025-05-18 0.000108 0.000266 0.000550 0.001046 0.001839 0.002994 0.004738
2025-05-25 0.000099 0.000255 0.000542 0.001054 0.001882 0.003104 0.004964
2025-06-01 0.000085 0.000233 0.000513 0.001024 0.001866 0.003125 0.005062
2025-06-08 0.000074 0.000212 0.000484 0.000993 0.001847 0.003140 0.005152
2025-06-15 0.000066 0.000201 0.000473 0.000991 0.001873 0.003223 0.005341
2025-06-22 0.000060 0.000191 0.000463 0.000991 0.001901 0.003309 0.005535
2025-06-29 0.000054 0.000179 0.000448 0.000981 0.001913 0.003370 0.005694
2025-07-06 0.000047 0.000166 0.000429 0.000962 0.001908 0.003405 0.005814